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U.S. House · Florida · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Florida House, district 27
Maria Elvira Salazar (Republican, incumbent) against Eliott Rodriguez (Democrat).
Where they stand · 37 points apart
Rodriguez is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Maria Elvira SalazarrecordEliott Rodriguezestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedSalazar$2.4MRodriguez$1.3MItemized, named donorsSalazar$601kRodriguez$1.1MNamed donorsSalazar262Rodriguez806Itemized from FloridaSalazar73%Rodriguez78%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Eliott will push to: Increase the federal minimum wage.” Rodriguez · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria Elvira Salazar | Kalshi | Republican wins | 67% | 68% | 68% | $56,014 | Open ↗ |
| Maria Elvira Salazar | Polymarket | Republican wins | 65% | 67% | 66% | $25,817 | Open ↗ |
| Eliott Rodriguez | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 33% | 34% | 34% | $91,968 | Open ↗ |
| Eliott Rodriguez | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 33% | 35% | 33% | $21,465 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Florida ballot
All 29 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll