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U.S. House · Florida · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Florida House, district 22

Pia Dandiya (Democrat) against Casey Askar (Republican).

Pia Dandiya
Democrat · challenger · estimate Left 28
63%party to win
vs.
Casey Askar
Republican · challenger · estimate Right 33
38%party to win

Where they stand · 61 points apart

Estimates

Hollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.

Pia DandiyaestimateCasey Askarestimate
Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart
Overall
2833
61 pts

Money

FEC to Sep 30
RaisedDandiya
$3.9MAskar
$9.9MItemized, named donorsDandiya
$2.7MAskar
$311kNamed donorsDandiya
1,437Askar
138Itemized from FloridaDandiya
34%Askar
75%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

In their own words

Campaign sites and X

“A New Generation of Leadership.”

“every student earned admission to college” Dandiya · X post · Apr 14 · ↗

“Prosperity Starts with Leadership”

“Teaching civics in school should be required.” Askar · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
CandidatePlatformContractBidAskLastVolume
Pia DandiyaKalshiDemocrat wins62%63%63%$86,177Open ↗
Pia DandiyaPolymarketDemocrat wins62%63%62%$30,734Open ↗
Casey AskarKalshiRepublican wins36%38%38%$70,869Open ↗
Casey AskarPolymarketRepublican wins37%38%37%$31,452Open ↗
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Florida ballot
All 29 →
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll