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U.S. House · Florida · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Florida House, district 16
Sydney Gruters (Republican) against Kelly Kirschner (Democrat).
Where they stand · 54 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Sydney GrutersestimateKelly Kirschnerestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedGruters$1.6MKirschner$752kItemized, named donorsGruters$1.2MKirschner$642kNamed donorsGruters422Kirschner538Itemized from FloridaGruters87%Kirschner88%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Gruters | Kalshi | Republican wins | 75% | 77% | 78% | $11,254 | Open ↗ |
| Sydney Gruters | Polymarket | Republican wins | 75% | 77% | 77% | $11,554 | Open ↗ |
| Kelly Kirschner | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 23% | 24% | 25% | $8,204 | Open ↗ |
| Kelly Kirschner | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 23% | 25% | 23% | $17,267 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Florida ballot
All 29 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll