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U.S. House · Florida · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Florida House, district 15
Laurel Lee (Republican, incumbent) against Robert People (Democrat).
Where they stand · 56 points apart
People is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Laurel LeerecordRobert Peopleestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedLee$2.7MPeople$59kItemized, named donorsLee$494kPeople$11kNamed donorsLee269People24Itemized from FloridaLee53%People66%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laurel Lee | Kalshi | Republican wins | 94% | 95% | 94% | $6,254 | Open ↗ |
| Laurel Lee | Polymarket | Republican wins | 94% | 97% | 97% | $23,850 | Open ↗ |
| Robert People | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | $10,302 | Open ↗ |
| Robert People | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 4% | 6% | 6% | $15,392 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Florida ballot
All 29 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll