← All races
U.S. House · Florida · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Florida House, district 14
Kathy Castor (Democrat, incumbent) against Mike Beltran (Republican).
Where they stand · 66 points apart
Beltran is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Kathy CastorrecordMike Beltranestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedCastor$4.5MBeltran$2.6MItemized, named donorsCastor$2.3MBeltran$269kNamed donorsCastor1,884Beltran191Itemized from FloridaCastor47%Beltran77%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“I’ll work with anyone to deliver for my Hillsborough neighbors, cut costs and end the rampant corruption!” Castor · X post · Oct 20 · ↗
“Fighting for Florida. Putting Tampa Bay First.”
“No red flag laws, no magazine bans, no compromise.” Beltran · Campaign site · Sep 29 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kathy Castor | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 65% | 66% | 66% | $275,166 | Open ↗ |
| Kathy Castor | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 65% | 66% | 65% | $50,301 | Open ↗ |
| Mike Beltran | Kalshi | Republican wins | 33% | 34% | 34% | $193,639 | Open ↗ |
| Mike Beltran | Polymarket | Republican wins | 32% | 34% | 33% | $48,039 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Florida ballot
All 29 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll