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U.S. House · Florida · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Florida House, district 12
Gus Bilirakis (Republican, incumbent) against Kimberly Overman (Democrat).
Where they stand · 40 points apart
Overman is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Gus BilirakisrecordKimberly Overmanestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedBilirakis$2.2MOverman$260kItemized, named donorsBilirakis$804kOverman$115kNamed donorsBilirakis479Overman183Itemized from FloridaBilirakis50%Overman63%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Results, representation, and restoring faith in public service.”
“She will work to lower prescription drug costs, expand coverage—especially mental health care—and protect access to reproductive services.” Overman · Campaign site · Invalid Date · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gus Bilirakis | Kalshi | Republican wins | 83% | 84% | 84% | $11,323 | Open ↗ |
| Gus Bilirakis | Polymarket | Republican wins | 83% | 84% | 84% | $38,660 | Open ↗ |
| Kimberly Overman | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 16% | 18% | 18% | $17,971 | Open ↗ |
| Kimberly Overman | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 14% | 16% | 15% | $58,314 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Florida ballot
All 29 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll