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U.S. House · Florida · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Florida House, district 11

Joe Strada (Republican) against James Pericola (Democrat).

Joe Strada
Republican · challenger · estimate Right 31
87%party to win
vs.
James Pericola
Democrat · challenger · estimate L-lean 13
11%party to win

Where they stand · 44 points apart

Estimates

Hollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.

Joe StradaestimateJames Pericolaestimate
Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart
Overall
3113
44 pts

Money

FEC to Sep 30
RaisedStrada
$5.4MPericola
$197kItemized, named donorsStrada
$326kPericola
$103kNamed donorsStrada
158Pericola
94Itemized from FloridaStrada
80%Pericola
43%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

In their own words

Campaign sites and X

“Buy American, Hire American Reward companies that invest in American workers, not foreign outsourcing.” Strada · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

“Lower costs. Common sense. Real results.”

“push to let Medicare negotiate lower prescription drug costs for seniors.” Pericola · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
CandidatePlatformContractBidAskLastVolume
Joe StradaKalshiRepublican wins87%88%87%$32,347Open ↗
Joe StradaPolymarketRepublican wins86%89%84%$16,223Open ↗
James PericolaKalshiDemocrat wins12%13%12%$17,553Open ↗
James PericolaPolymarketDemocrat wins10%13%11%$27,615Open ↗
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Florida ballot
All 29 →
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll