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U.S. House · Arizona · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Arizona House, district 6
JoAnna Mendoza (Democrat) against Juan Ciscomani (Republican, incumbent).
Where they stand · 44 points apart
Mendoza is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
JoAnna MendozaestimateJuan Ciscomanirecord
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedMendoza$10.8MCiscomani$7.5MItemized, named donorsMendoza$5MCiscomani$2.2MNamed donorsMendoza5,811Ciscomani1,928Itemized from ArizonaMendoza23%Ciscomani36%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Arizona Tough. Battle-Tested. Ready to Serve.”
“I do not support defunding the police” Mendoza · X post · Sep 11 · ↗
“Fighting for OUR Community”
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JoAnna Mendoza | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 87% | 89% | 88% | $37,053 | Open ↗ |
| JoAnna Mendoza | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 87% | 89% | 89% | $11,934 | Open ↗ |
| Juan Ciscomani | Kalshi | Republican wins | 11% | 12% | 12% | $20,125 | Open ↗ |
| Juan Ciscomani | Polymarket | Republican wins | 11% | 12% | 11% | $25,920 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Arizona ballot
All 9 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll