Hallie Shoffner
Candidate · U.S. Senate · Arkansas
Democrat · Challenger6%
Party to win · Kalshi, Oct 27, 2026
▲ 4 pts since April
Running for
OfficeU.S. Senate
SeatArkansas, statewide
AgainstTom Cotton (R), incumbent
ElectionNov 3, 2026 · 7 days
StandingChallenger
BallotDirectory listing
Links
Running statewide
Arkansas · Senate seat
Roster checked Sep 29, 2026. Listed as: Farmer.
The campaign · in their wordshallieshoffner.com · read Oct 19, 2026 ↗
“Let's Take the Fight to washington”
Plank 1 · campaign site
Lowering Costs for Working Families
“I want Arkansans to do more than survive.”
Plank 2 · campaign site
Growing the Economy and Supporting the Workforce
“We need an Arkansas-first economic plan.”
Plank 3 · campaign site
Making Healthcare Affordable and Accessible
“I will fight to protect our hospitals, lower prescription drug prices, strengthen the Affordable Care Act, protect Medicare and Medicaid, cut red tape, and hold insurance companies accountable.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's own site, unedited. 36 pages read.
Where They Stand
Statement estimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words, on the same scale as a member’s record.
Overall
from 4 statements
L-lean
Issue · by emphasisLeftCenterRightReadTalks about
Odds over time · Kalshi daily closes
Cotton (R) — 94%Shoffner (D) — 6%
The race · Arkansas Senate · 7 days out
Tom CottonRepublican · incumbent · Right 23 on the record94%Hallie ShoffnerDemocrat · challenger · L-lean 19 from statements6%2319
42 points apart · hollow = estimate, solid = record
Money · FEC through Sep 30, 2026
$3.7M
Raised
$3.6M
From individuals
Named donors · gifts over $200
$2.4M
Itemized · 66% of individual
3,555
Named donors
80%
Itemized from Arkansas
By occupation
$749k
$425k
$159k
$98k
$87k
By state
$1.9M
$81k
$69k
$54k
$35k
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“better voluntary conservation programs (better funding and small farm support in EQIP)”
“expanding agricultural diversification and building regional food systems that create new markets close to home”
“Real farm aid should help farmers stay on their land, lower their input costs, rebuild their soil, reach new markets”
On the ballot with them · Arkansas, Nov 3, 2026
AR Governor
Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) · 96%
vs. Fred Love (D) · 2%
AR-1
Rick Crawford (R) · 95%
vs. Terri Yarbrough Green (D) · 4%
AR-2
French Hill (R) · 82%
vs. Chris Jones (D) · 21%
AR-3
Steve Womack (R) · 94%
vs. Robb Ryserse (D) · 5%
AR-4
Bruce Westerman (R) · 97%
vs. Rus Russell (D) · 4%
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll
Hallie Shoffner
Candidate · U.S. Senate · Arkansas
Democrat · Challenger6%
Party to win · Kalshi
▲ 4 pts since April
7
Days to Nov 3
vs. Cotton (R), inc.
The campaign · in their wordsRead Oct 19, 2026 ↗
“Let's Take the Fight to washington”
Plank 1
Lowering Costs for Working Families
“I want Arkansans to do more than survive.”
Plank 2
Growing the Economy and Supporting the Workforce
“We need an Arkansas-first economic plan.”
Plank 3
Making Healthcare Affordable and Accessible
“I will fight to protect our hospitals, lower prescription drug prices, strengthen the Affordable Care Act, protect Medicare and Medicaid, cut red tape, and hold insurance companies accountable.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's site, unedited · hallieshoffner.com
Where They Stand
EstimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words.
Issue · by emphasisRead · talks about
Energy and landLeft 33
Left, 33 points from center
Budget and taxesLeft 26
Left, 26 points from center
EducationLeft 33
Left, 33 points from center
TradeLeft 36
Left, 36 points from center
Crime and justiceMixed
Mixed
Health careL-lean 18
L-lean, 18 points from center
Business and laborRight 23
Right, 23 points from center
Foreign policyMixed
Mixed
Civil rightsRight 33
Right, 33 points from center
Odds over time · Kalshi
Cotton 94%Shoffner 6%
The race · AR Senate · 7 days out
Tom CottonRepublican · incumbent · Right 23 on the record94%Hallie ShoffnerDemocrat · challenger · L-lean 19 from statements6%2319
Hollow = estimate from statements · solid = voting record
Money · FEC through Sep 30, 2026
Raised, 2026
From individuals
Itemized · 66% of individual
Named donors
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“better voluntary conservation programs (better funding and small farm support in EQIP)”
“expanding agricultural diversification and building regional food systems that create new markets close to home”
“Real farm aid should help farmers stay on their land, lower their input costs, rebuild their soil, reach new markets”
On the ballot with them · Arkansas
AR GovernorSanders (R) vs. Love (D)96% · 2%AR-1Crawford (R) vs. Green (D)95% · 4%AR-2Hill (R) vs. Jones (D)82% · 21%AR-3Womack (R) vs. Ryserse (D)94% · 5%AR-4Westerman (R) vs. Russell (D)97% · 4%
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll