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U.S. House · Arkansas · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Arkansas House, district 4
Bruce Westerman (Republican, incumbent) against Rus Russell (Democrat).
Where they stand · 45 points apart
Russell is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Bruce WestermanrecordRus Russellestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedWesterman$3MRussell—Itemized, named donorsWesterman$700kRussell—Named donorsWesterman453Russell—Itemized from ArkansasWesterman41%Russell—
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Happy 250 years to the greatest nation in the world! We are blessed to call America home. Happy 4th of July!” Westerman · X post · Jul 4 · ↗
“Bringing politics and power back to the people!”
“We need to make sure everyone can get a good, free education. That includes college or job training” Russell · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Westerman | Kalshi | Republican wins | 97% | 98% | 98% | $3,098 | Open ↗ |
| Bruce Westerman | Polymarket | Republican wins | 95% | 98% | 97% | $13,242 | Open ↗ |
| Rus Russell | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 1% | 3% | 2% | $1,806 | Open ↗ |
| Rus Russell | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 2% | 5% | 4% | $11,726 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Arkansas ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll