Governor · Arkansas · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Arkansas Governor

Sarah Huckabee Sanders (Republican, incumbent) against Fred Love (Democrat).

Republican · incumbent · estimate Right 27

98%▲ 2 since April

vs.

Democrat · challenger · estimate L-lean 20

2%▼ 1 since April

Party to win · Kalshi daily close, Oct 27All market contracts ▸

Also running

Where they stand · 47 points apart

Estimates

Hollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.

Sarah Huckabee SandersestimateFred Loveestimate

Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart

Overall

2720

47 pts

Education

3723

60 pts ▸

Crime and justice

3323

55 pts ▸

Trade and industrial policy

3318

50 pts ▸

Health care

3318

50 pts ▸

Campaign sites and X

“I’m focused on phasing out our income tax” Sanders · X post · Feb 23 · ↗

“Building a Better Arkansas”

“support teachers with fair pay and resources” Love · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4

Candidate	Platform	Contract	Bid	Ask	Last	Volume
Sarah Huckabee Sanders	Kalshi	Republican wins	97%	98%	98%	$7,065	Open ↗
Sarah Huckabee Sanders	Polymarket	Republican wins	96%	98%	96%	$10,294	Open ↗
Fred Love	Kalshi	Democrat wins	2%	2%	2%	$33,537	Open ↗
Fred Love	Polymarket	Democrat wins	<1%	2%	3%	$1,810	Open ↗

Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.

Also on the Arkansas ballot

Senate

House · AR-1

House · AR-2

House · AR-3

House · AR-4

Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll