Spurna.
Spurna.

Tom Cotton

U.S. Senate · Arkansas
On the ballot · Nov 3
$6.2M

Raised, 2025–26

  • Individuals$3.2M51%
  • PACs$1.1M18%
  • Transfers & other$1.9M31%

17% of the individual money came from small donors ($200 or less).

Top PAC industries

$1.2M
Office
PartyRepublican
ChamberU.S. Senate
SeatArkansas (statewide)
Up for electionNov 3, 2026
Represents
AR-4 · Bruce WestermanAR-2 · J. French HillAR-1 · Eric A. 'Rick' CrawfordAR-3 · Steve Womack
All of Arkansas
FollowCompare
On the ballot · Arkansas Senate · Nov 394% party to win▼ 2 since April· vs. Shoffner ↓
The campaign · in their words

“A strong military and billions in investments for Arkansas. A secure border and a safer Arkansas. Lower taxes for every Arkansan.”

tomcotton.com · read Oct 19, 2026 ↗Page titles and first lines from the campaign’s own site, unedited

Where They Stand

Position from 321 bills and votes and 4 statements, starting from a reputation prior of Right 28 — click any issue to see the reputation, the record and the shift.

Solo viewvs. Shoffner · 2026vs. pick…
Cotton (you're viewing)
Overall
23
Right
LeftCenterRight
Track is neutral — only the dot's position and distance-from-center number carry meaning.
Odds over time · Kalshi daily closes · party to winApr 6 – Oct 27
100%90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%0%MAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTTODAY
  • Cotton 94%▼ 2 since April
  • Shoffner 6%▲ 4 since April
The race · AR Senate
Tom CottonRepublican · incumbent · Right 23 on the record94%
Hallie ShoffnerDemocrat · challenger · L-lean 19 from statements6%
1923
42 points apart · hollow = estimate, solid = record
Shoffner's page →
Money · raised, FEC to Sep 30
Tom Cotton$7M
$3.5M from individuals · $2.8M itemized
Hallie Shoffner$3.7M
$3.6M from individuals · $2.4M itemized
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
Odds are a market close, not a poll

What They Care About

How this is measured

Bubble size = how much of Tom Cotton's sponsored bills, cosponsorships, campaign statements and tweets go to each domain. Votes are left out because they follow committee seats; domains a member's committees handle are discounted a little. Anything from the last 6 months counts double, so a topic they are on about right now grows. Darker = they have broken with their own party more often on that topic: the share of party-line votes since 2009 where they voted against their party's majority (gray = fewer than 8 such votes). Based on 20 sponsored, 115 cosponsored, 20 statements, 582 topical tweets. Click a bubble to open what they support and the bills and tweets behind it; click it again to close.

Foreign policy, trade and defense · 18% of Tom Cotton's priorities · 5 sponsored · 22 cosponsored · 3 statements · 230 tweets · broke with their party on 9 of 169 party-line votesForeign policy 18%Crime and justice · 12% of Tom Cotton's priorities · 1 sponsored · 11 cosponsored · 3 statements · 184 tweets · broke with their party on 1 of 23 party-line votesCrime 12%Federal budget, taxes and spending · 10% of Tom Cotton's priorities · 1 sponsored · 15 cosponsored · 4 statements · 109 tweets · broke with their party on 12 of 354 party-line votesFederal budget 10%Immigration · 10% of Tom Cotton's priorities · 2 sponsored · 10 cosponsored · 3 statements · 61 tweets · broke with their party on 0 of 24 party-line votesImmigration 10%Health care · 7% of Tom Cotton's priorities · 1 sponsored · 7 cosponsored · 1 statements · 67 tweets · broke with their party on 0 of 43 party-line votesHealth care 7%Education · 6% of Tom Cotton's priorities · 2 sponsored · 3 cosponsored · 2 statements · 46 tweets · broke with their party on 1 of 19 party-line votesEducation 6%Energy, environment, land and agriculture · 6% of Tom Cotton's priorities · 0 sponsored · 9 cosponsored · 1 statements · 47 tweets · broke with their party on 4 of 267 party-line votesEnergy 6%Guns · 6% of Tom Cotton's priorities · 2 sponsored · 8 cosponsored · 1 statements · 25 tweets · broke with their party on 0 of 4 party-line votesGuns 6%Business, finance and labor · 6% of Tom Cotton's priorities · 0 sponsored · 7 cosponsored · 0 statements · 133 tweets · broke with their party on 2 of 80 party-line votesBusiness 6%Federal power and civil liberties · 5% of Tom Cotton's priorities · 3 sponsored · 2 cosponsored · 0 statements · 99 tweets · broke with their party on 1 of 53 party-line votesFederal power 5%Civil rights, gender and religion · 5% of Tom Cotton's priorities · 1 sponsored · 5 cosponsored · 2 statements · 27 tweets · broke with their party on 0 of 8 party-line votesCivil rights 5%Housing, transportation, technology and vice · 4% of Tom Cotton's priorities · 0 sponsored · 6 cosponsored · 0 statements · 74 tweets · broke with their party on 1 of 39 party-line votesHousing 4%Trade and industrial policy · 4% of Tom Cotton's priorities · 2 sponsored · 7 cosponsored · 0 statements · 1 tweets · broke with their party on 0 of 8 party-line votesTrade 4%Elections, representation and accountability · 1% of Tom Cotton's priorities · 0 sponsored · 3 cosponsored · 0 statements · 2 tweets · broke with their party on 0 of 6 party-line votes1%
Rarely breaksOften breaks

Tom Cotton

● Republican · U.S. Senate · Arkansas
Raised
$6.2M
2025–26 cycle
Top sector
$282k
other politicians
Overall
Right
23pt right
Actions
923
votes, bills, tweets
On the ballot · Nov 394% ▼ 2 · vs. Shoffner ↓
The campaign · in their words

“A strong military and billions in investments for Arkansas. A secure border and a safer Arkansas. Lower taxes for every Arkansan.”

★ Immigration & Our Sovereignty ↗“He voted to pass the Laken Riley Act to deport criminal illegal aliens.”★ Lowering Prices for Working Arkansans ↗“Senator Cotton has fought to lower costs by getting rid of the Democrats Green New Deal regulations and supporting American energy, which means lower costs for Arkansans and jobs right here at home.”★ National Security to Keep Arkansas Safe ↗“Senator Cotton has delivered billions in Arkansas investments in Pine Bluff, Fort Ebbing, and across the state.”
From tomcotton.com, unedited

Where They Stand

Overall
Right, 23 points from center
Dot = distance from center · band = 90% range

The 2026 Race

Race page →
Odds · Kalshi daily closes▼ 2
100%75%50%25%0%MAYJUNJULAUGSEPTODAY
Cotton 94%Shoffner 6%
The race · AR Senate
Tom CottonRepublican · incumbent · Right 23 on the record94%
Hallie ShoffnerDemocrat · challenger · L-lean 19 from statements6%
1923
42 points apart · hollow = estimate, solid = record
Shoffner's page →
Money · raised, FEC to Sep 30
Tom Cotton$7M
$3.5M from individuals · $2.8M itemized
Hallie Shoffner$3.7M
$3.6M from individuals · $2.4M itemized
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
Odds are a market close, not a poll

What They Care About

Foreign policy, trade and defense · 18% of Tom Cotton's priorities · 5 sponsored · 22 cosponsored · 3 statements · 230 tweets · broke with their party on 9 of 169 party-line votesForeign policy 18%Crime and justice · 12% of Tom Cotton's priorities · 1 sponsored · 11 cosponsored · 3 statements · 184 tweets · broke with their party on 1 of 23 party-line votesCrime and justice 12%Federal budget, taxes and spending · 10% of Tom Cotton's priorities · 1 sponsored · 15 cosponsored · 4 statements · 109 tweets · broke with their party on 12 of 354 party-line votesBudget and taxes 10%Immigration · 10% of Tom Cotton's priorities · 2 sponsored · 10 cosponsored · 3 statements · 61 tweets · broke with their party on 0 of 24 party-line votes10%Health care · 7% of Tom Cotton's priorities · 1 sponsored · 7 cosponsored · 1 statements · 67 tweets · broke with their party on 0 of 43 party-line votes7%Education · 6% of Tom Cotton's priorities · 2 sponsored · 3 cosponsored · 2 statements · 46 tweets · broke with their party on 1 of 19 party-line votes6%Energy, environment, land and agriculture · 6% of Tom Cotton's priorities · 0 sponsored · 9 cosponsored · 1 statements · 47 tweets · broke with their party on 4 of 267 party-line votes6%Guns · 6% of Tom Cotton's priorities · 2 sponsored · 8 cosponsored · 1 statements · 25 tweets · broke with their party on 0 of 4 party-line votes6%
10% Immigration7% Health care6% Education6% Energy and land6% Guns
RarelyOften breaks

Who Pays

PAC money · 2025–26
SectorPACsAmountShare
Other politicians33$282k
Retail & business44$175k
Finance & insurance29$121k
Energy29$110k
Agriculture & food24$104k
Issue groups16$94k
Health care19$78k
Defense15$77k
Everything else50$204k
Raised $6.2M · 51% individuals · 18% pacs