Dan Osborn
Candidate · U.S. Senate · Nebraska
Independent · Challenger29%
To win · Kalshi, Oct 27, 2026
▼ 1 pts since April
Running for
OfficeU.S. Senate
SeatNebraska, statewide
AgainstPete Ricketts (R), incumbent
ElectionNov 3, 2026 · 7 days
StandingChallenger
BallotDirectory listing
Links
Running statewide
Nebraska · Senate seat
Roster checked Sep 29, 2026. Listed as: Industrial Mechanic, Local Union President & Navy Veteran & '24 Candidate.
The campaign · in their wordsosbornforsenate.com · read Oct 19, 2026 ↗
“Navy Man. Mechanic. Independent.”
Plank 1 · campaign site
drain the swamp
“When I'm in the Senate, I will champion the strongest anti-corruption platform Washington has ever seen.”
Plank 2 · campaign site
PROTECT OUR PAYCHECKS, SOCIAL SECURITY, AND HEALTHCARE
“I will take on the corporations and their chosen political lapdogs to restore economic liberty and fairness for the working Americans who make this country run.”
Plank 3 · campaign site
Cut Waste and Balance the Budget
“I'll cut waste, end corporate welfare, and refuse to vote for spending we can't afford.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's own site, unedited. 21 pages read.
Where They Stand
Statement estimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words, on the same scale as a member’s record.
Overall
from 6 statements
Left
Issue · by emphasisLeftCenterRightReadTalks about
Odds over time · Kalshi daily closes
Ricketts (R) — 73%Osborn (I) — 29%
The race · Nebraska Senate · 7 days out
Pete RickettsRepublican · incumbent · Rt-lean 22 on the record73%Dan OsbornIndependent · challenger · Left 30 from statements29%2230
52 points apart · hollow = estimate, solid = record
Money · FEC through Oct 14, 2026
$9.8M
Raised
$9.4M
From individuals
Named donors · gifts over $200
$5.8M
Itemized · 63% of individual
7,024
Named donors
17%
Itemized from Nebraska
By occupation
$2.3M
$718k
$401k
$223k
$93k
By state
$1.1M
$1M
$756k
$490k
$270k
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“Surveillance pricing is wrong. I'll vote to ban it”
“Congress shouldn't go home until we get an Al safety bill.”
“I'll fight to ban mergers in these concentrated industries”
On the ballot with them · Nebraska, Nov 3, 2026
NE Governor
Jim Pillen (R) · 84%
vs. Lynne Walz (D) · 18%
NE-1
Mike Flood (R) · 77%
vs. Chris Backemeyer (D) · 25%
NE-2 · open seat
Denise Powell (D) · 92%
vs. Brinker Harding (R) · 9%
NE-3
Adrian Smith (R) · 98%
vs. Becky Stille (D) · 4%
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll
Dan Osborn
Candidate · U.S. Senate · Nebraska
Independent · Challenger29%
To win · Kalshi
▼ 1 pts since April
7
Days to Nov 3
vs. Ricketts (R), inc.
The campaign · in their wordsRead Oct 19, 2026 ↗
“Navy Man. Mechanic. Independent.”
Plank 1
drain the swamp
“When I'm in the Senate, I will champion the strongest anti-corruption platform Washington has ever seen.”
Plank 2
PROTECT OUR PAYCHECKS, SOCIAL SECURITY, AND HEALTHCARE
“I will take on the corporations and their chosen political lapdogs to restore economic liberty and fairness for the working Americans who make this country run.”
Plank 3
Cut Waste and Balance the Budget
“I'll cut waste, end corporate welfare, and refuse to vote for spending we can't afford.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's site, unedited · osbornforsenate.com
Where They Stand
EstimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words.
Issue · by emphasisRead · talks about
Housing and techLeft 38
Left, 38 points from center
Energy and landLeft 33
Left, 33 points from center
Budget and taxesLeft 23
Left, 23 points from center
Crime and justiceCntr-rt 5
Cntr-rt, 5 points from center
EducationLeft 37
Left, 37 points from center
Foreign policyMixed
Mixed
Business and laborRight 23
Right, 23 points from center
TradeLeft 23
Left, 23 points from center
Health careLeft 23
Left, 23 points from center
Federal powerRt-lean 20
Rt-lean, 20 points from center
Odds over time · Kalshi
Ricketts 73%Osborn 29%
The race · NE Senate · 7 days out
Pete RickettsRepublican · incumbent · Rt-lean 22 on the record73%Dan OsbornIndependent · challenger · Left 30 from statements29%2230
Hollow = estimate from statements · solid = voting record
Money · FEC through Oct 14, 2026
Raised, 2026
From individuals
Itemized · 63% of individual
Named donors
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“Surveillance pricing is wrong. I'll vote to ban it”
“Congress shouldn't go home until we get an Al safety bill.”
“I'll fight to ban mergers in these concentrated industries”
On the ballot with them · Nebraska
NE GovernorPillen (R) vs. Walz (D)84% · 18%NE-1Flood (R) vs. Backemeyer (D)77% · 25%NE-2 · open seatPowell (D) vs. Harding (R)92% · 9%NE-3Smith (R) vs. Stille (D)98% · 4%
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll