Governor · Nebraska · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Nebraska Governor

Jim Pillen (Republican, incumbent) against Lynne Walz (Democrat). Walz is up 7 points on the markets since April.

Republican · incumbent · estimate Right 36

84%▼ 4 since April

vs.

Democrat · challenger · estimate L·Cntr 5

18%▲ 7 since April

Party to win · Kalshi daily close, Oct 27All market contracts ▸

Also running

Where they stand · 41 points apart

Estimates

Hollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.

Jim PillenestimateLynne Walzestimate

Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart

Overall

365

41 pts

Education

3336

69 pts ▸

Business, finance and labor

2818

10 pts ▸

Trade and industrial policy

1018

8 pts ▸

Crime and justice

3328

6 pts ▸

Campaign sites and X

“Lowering taxes to make life more affordable” Pillen · X post · Aug 18 · ↗

“Nebraska's Future.”

“As governor, I will protect public school funding” Walz · X post · Feb 26 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4

Candidate	Platform	Contract	Bid	Ask	Last	Volume
Jim Pillen	Kalshi	Republican wins	83%	84%	84%	$41,223	Open ↗
Jim Pillen	Polymarket	Republican wins	81%	83%	80%	$22,521	Open ↗
Lynne Walz	Kalshi	Democrat wins	17%	18%	18%	$37,085	Open ↗
Lynne Walz	Polymarket	Democrat wins	18%	20%	19%	$22,851	Open ↗

Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.

Also on the Nebraska ballot

Senate

House · NE-1

House · NE-2

House · NE-3

Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll