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U.S. House · Nebraska · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Nebraska House, district 3
Adrian Smith (Republican, incumbent) against Becky Stille (Democrat).
Where they stand · 32 points apart
Stille is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Adrian SmithrecordBecky Stilleestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedSmith$2.2MStille$55kItemized, named donorsSmith$429kStille$7kNamed donorsSmith215Stille9Itemized from NebraskaSmith47%Stille71%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Always enjoy catching up with @stevewhitenews while I’m out and about at the @NEStateFair! From the Working Families Tax Cuts to nationwide, year-round E15, I’ll keep fighting to strengthen our state’s number one industry!” Smith · X post · Sep 4 · ↗
“Public education is a core feature of a prosperous and cohesive society.” Stille · Campaign site · Sep 29 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Smith | Kalshi | Republican wins | 97% | 99% | 98% | $2,512 | Open ↗ |
| Adrian Smith | Polymarket | Republican wins | 97% | 98% | 98% | $10,554 | Open ↗ |
| Becky Stille | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 1% | 3% | 2% | $2,704 | Open ↗ |
| Becky Stille | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | $5,454 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Nebraska ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll