U.S. House · Nebraska · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Nebraska House, district 2

Denise Powell (Democrat) against Brinker Harding (Republican).

Democrat · challenger · estimate Left 27

92%party to win

vs.

Republican · challenger · estimate Right 35

9%party to win

Where they stand · 62 points apart

Estimates

Hollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.

Denise PowellestimateBrinker Hardingestimate

Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart

Overall

2735

62 pts

Federal budget, taxes and spending

2838

65 pts ▸

Immigration

2335

57 pts ▸

Civil rights, gender and religion

1333

45 pts ▸

Energy, environment, land and agriculture

2023

43 pts ▸

FEC to Sep 30

RaisedPowell

$4.9MHarding

$2.7MItemized, named donorsPowell

$3.1MHarding

$1.4MNamed donorsPowell

2,437Harding

640Itemized from NebraskaPowell

31%Harding

85%

The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

Campaign sites and X

“It's Time To Be Brave.”

“Protect abortion rights ... fighting to restore Roe v. Wade into law nationwide.” Powell · Campaign site · Sep 29 · ↗

“The issues are on our side: ... secure borders” Harding · X post · Mar 14 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4

Candidate	Platform	Contract	Bid	Ask	Last	Volume
Denise Powell	Kalshi	Democrat wins	91%	92%	92%	$21,639	Open ↗
Denise Powell	Polymarket	Democrat wins	90%	93%	92%	$39,553	Open ↗
Brinker Harding	Kalshi	Republican wins	8%	9%	9%	$104,699	Open ↗
Brinker Harding	Polymarket	Republican wins	7%	7%	7%	$28,607	Open ↗

Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.

Also on the Nebraska ballot

Senate

Governor

House · NE-1

House · NE-3

Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll