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U.S. Senate · Nebraska · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Nebraska Senate

Pete Ricketts (Republican, incumbent) against Dan Osborn (Independent).

Pete Ricketts
Republican · incumbent · record Rt-lean 22
73%▲ 2 since April
vs.
Dan Osborn
Independent · challenger · estimate Left 30
29%▼ 1 since April
80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%MAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTTODAY
75%50%25%MAYJUNJULAUGSEPTODAY
Party to win · Kalshi daily close, Oct 27All market contracts ▸

Where they stand · 52 points apart

Osborn is an estimate

Solid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.

Pete RickettsrecordDan Osbornestimate
Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart
Overall
2230
52 pts

Money

FEC to Sep 30
RaisedRicketts
$13.4MOsborn
$9.8MItemized, named donorsRicketts
$2.4MOsborn
$5.8MNamed donorsRicketts
1,227Osborn
7,024Itemized from NebraskaRicketts
31%Osborn
17%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

In their own words

Campaign sites and X

“I am honored to have Nebraska Farm Bureau's endorsement and Nebraska Cattlemen's support!” Ricketts · X post · Oct 20 · ↗

“Navy Man. Mechanic. Independent.”

“Surveillance pricing is wrong. I'll vote to ban it” Osborn · X post · Jun 26 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 3
CandidatePlatformContractBidAskLastVolume
Pete RickettsKalshiRepublican wins72%73%73%$1,892,199Open ↗
Pete RickettsPolymarketRepublican wins71%73%73%$542,893Open ↗
Dan OsbornKalshithis candidate28%29%29%$1,495,953Open ↗
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Nebraska ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll