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U.S. House · Nebraska · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Nebraska House, district 1
Mike Flood (Republican, incumbent) against Chris Backemeyer (Democrat).
Where they stand · 43 points apart
Backemeyer is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Mike FloodrecordChris Backemeyerestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedFlood$2.7MBackemeyer$1MItemized, named donorsFlood$1.1MBackemeyer$689kNamed donorsFlood659Backemeyer739Itemized from NebraskaFlood61%Backemeyer47%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Flood | Kalshi | Republican wins | 80% | 81% | 81% | $19,575 | Open ↗ |
| Mike Flood | Polymarket | Republican wins | 78% | 80% | 77% | $24,789 | Open ↗ |
| Chris Backemeyer | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 19% | 20% | 20% | $26,836 | Open ↗ |
| Chris Backemeyer | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 17% | 21% | 25% | $28,958 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Nebraska ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll