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U.S. House · Virginia · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Virginia House, district 9
Morgan Griffith (Republican, incumbent) against Joy Powers (Democrat).
Where they stand · 45 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Morgan GriffithestimateJoy Powersestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedGriffith$2.1MPowers$242kItemized, named donorsGriffith$634kPowers$155kNamed donorsGriffith404Powers181Itemized from VirginiaGriffith45%Powers93%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Griffith | Kalshi | Republican wins | 96% | 98% | 96% | $5,483 | Open ↗ |
| Morgan Griffith | Polymarket | Republican wins | 96% | 97% | 98% | $44,973 | Open ↗ |
| Joy Powers | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 3% | 5% | 5% | $3,686 | Open ↗ |
| Joy Powers | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | $21,705 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Virginia ballot
All 11 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll