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U.S. House · Virginia · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Virginia House, district 4
Jennifer McClellan (Democrat, incumbent) against Robert Murray (Republican).
Where they stand · 49 points apart
Murray is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Jennifer McClellanrecordRobert Murrayestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedMcClellan$1.5MMurray$1kItemized, named donorsMcClellan$584kMurray$550Named donorsMcClellan558Murray2Itemized from VirginiaMcClellan74%Murray100%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“I’m in Henrico with @PeteButtigieg to rally behind @tomperriello, @ShannonTaylorVA , and @ElaineLuria. Tune in below.” McClellan · X post · Oct 19 · ↗
“Helping you get to where you want to be.”
“I support a 0% federal individual income tax by 2032.” Murray · X post · Sep 6 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer McClellan | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 96% | 98% | 98% | $8,458 | Open ↗ |
| Jennifer McClellan | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 96% | 99% | 96% | $12,732 | Open ↗ |
| Robert Murray | Kalshi | Republican wins | 2% | 4% | 3% | $1,358 | Open ↗ |
| Robert Murray | Polymarket | Republican wins | 2% | 2% | 2% | $29,964 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Virginia ballot
All 11 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll