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U.S. House · Virginia · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Virginia House, district 1
Shannon Taylor (Democrat) against Rob Wittman (Republican, incumbent).
Where they stand · 42 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Shannon TaylorestimateRob Wittmanestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedTaylor$4.2MWittman$5.2MItemized, named donorsTaylor$2.5MWittman$1.7MNamed donorsTaylor2,403Wittman1,151Itemized from VirginiaTaylor52%Wittman62%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“A Proven Fighter For Our Community”
“Shannon will fight to restore the Affordable Care Act tax credits” Taylor · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
“A Proven Voice for Virginia”
“They deserve the training, equipment, staffing, and support necessary to do their jobs safely and effectively.” Wittman · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shannon Taylor | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 61% | 62% | 62% | $144,700 | Open ↗ |
| Shannon Taylor | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 63% | 65% | 64% | $70,328 | Open ↗ |
| Rob Wittman | Kalshi | Republican wins | 38% | 39% | 39% | $243,352 | Open ↗ |
| Rob Wittman | Polymarket | Republican wins | 35% | 38% | 37% | $37,920 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Virginia ballot
All 11 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll