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U.S. House · Virginia · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Virginia House, district 2
Elaine Luria (Democrat) against Jen Kiggans (Republican, incumbent).
Where they stand · 56 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Elaine LuriaestimateJen Kiggansestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedLuria$7.4MKiggans$7.2MItemized, named donorsLuria$4.5MKiggans$2.9MNamed donorsLuria3,751Kiggans3,305Itemized from VirginiaLuria40%Kiggans62%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elaine Luria | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 89% | 90% | 90% | $125,639 | Open ↗ |
| Elaine Luria | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 90% | 91% | 91% | $25,292 | Open ↗ |
| Jen Kiggans | Kalshi | Republican wins | 10% | 11% | 11% | $144,955 | Open ↗ |
| Jen Kiggans | Polymarket | Republican wins | 8% | 10% | 9% | $38,739 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Virginia ballot
All 11 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll