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U.S. House · Virginia · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Virginia House, district 8
Don Beyer (Democrat, incumbent) against Tony Sabio (Republican).
Where they stand · 69 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Don BeyerestimateTony Sabioestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedBeyer$2.5MSabio$42kItemized, named donorsBeyer$1.6MSabio$21kNamed donorsBeyer840Sabio46Itemized from VirginiaBeyer61%Sabio93%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don Beyer | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 96% | 99% | 99% | $12,098 | Open ↗ |
| Don Beyer | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 95% | 99% | 95% | $12,724 | Open ↗ |
| Tony Sabio | Kalshi | Republican wins | 1% | 4% | 5% | $2,349 | Open ↗ |
| Tony Sabio | Polymarket | Republican wins | 2% | 4% | 3% | $28,638 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Virginia ballot
All 11 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll