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U.S. House · Virginia · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Virginia House, district 7
Eugene Vindman (Democrat, incumbent) against Doug Ollivant (Republican).
Where they stand · 49 points apart
Ollivant is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Eugene VindmanrecordDoug Ollivantestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedVindman$15.5MOllivant$378kItemized, named donorsVindman$5.9MOllivant$302kNamed donorsVindman10,521Ollivant206Itemized from VirginiaVindman18%Ollivant75%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“A FIGHTER FOR WORKING Families”
“The countdown is ON, Virginia! Just TWO WEEKS until Election Day, and we’re not taking our foot off the gas. Every conversation, every door knocked, and every vote matters. Let’s finish strong!” Vindman · X post · Oct 20 · ↗
“I oppose any scheme that requires a government-issued permit just to purchase a firearm.” Ollivant · Campaign site · Invalid Date · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eugene Vindman | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 94% | 96% | 96% | $20,724 | Open ↗ |
| Eugene Vindman | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 94% | 97% | 98% | $6,998 | Open ↗ |
| Doug Ollivant | Kalshi | Republican wins | 5% | 6% | 2% | $20,278 | Open ↗ |
| Doug Ollivant | Polymarket | Republican wins | 3% | 5% | 3% | $10,055 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Virginia ballot
All 11 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll