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U.S. House · Virginia · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Virginia House, district 11
James Walkinshaw (Democrat, incumbent) against Arthur Purves (Republican).
Where they stand · 64 points apart
Purves is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
James WalkinshawrecordArthur Purvesestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedWalkinshaw$3.2MPurves$41kItemized, named donorsWalkinshaw$1.6MPurves$13kNamed donorsWalkinshaw1,262Purves24Itemized from VirginiaWalkinshaw78%Purves71%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“In Congress, I'm working to stop Trump's reckless agenda and deliver for Virginia families.”
“Two weeks until Election Day! Early voting is open now, so you don't have to wait until November 3. Make your plan at” Walkinshaw · X post · Oct 20 · ↗
“SLASH FEDERAL SPENDING WITHOUT CUTTING A PROGRAM. EAT REAL FOOD. GOVERNMENT SPENDS TRILLIONS ON THE CHRONIC DISEASE EPIDEMIC CAUSED BY ULTRA-PROCESSED FOOD.”
“Out-of-control federal spending causes inflation.” Purves · X post · Oct 5 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Walkinshaw | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 97% | 98% | 98% | $2,399 | Open ↗ |
| James Walkinshaw | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 96% | 98% | 98% | $17,339 | Open ↗ |
| Arthur Purves | Kalshi | Republican wins | 2% | 3% | 2% | $1,916 | Open ↗ |
| Arthur Purves | Polymarket | Republican wins | 1% | 4% | 4% | $12,244 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Virginia ballot
All 11 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll

