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U.S. House · Texas · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Texas House, district 8

Jessica Steinmann (Republican) against Laura Jones (Democrat).

Jessica Steinmann
Republican · challenger · estimate Right 36
95%party to win
vs.
Laura Jones
Democrat · challenger · estimate Left 33
4%party to win

Where they stand · 69 points apart

Estimates

Hollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.

Jessica SteinmannestimateLaura Jonesestimate
Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart
Overall
3633
69 pts

Money

FEC to Sep 30
RaisedSteinmann
$2.4MJones
$31kItemized, named donorsSteinmann
$777kJones
$16kNamed donorsSteinmann
397Jones
35Itemized from TexasSteinmann
77%Jones
92%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

In their own words

Campaign sites and X

“The ONLY Trump-Endorsed Candidate for TX-8”

“I will fight to finish President Trump’s wall” Steinmann · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

“A BRIGHTER FUTURE”

“Congress definitely needs more climate action advocates” Jones · X post · Jun 17 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
CandidatePlatformContractBidAskLastVolume
Jessica SteinmannKalshiRepublican wins96%97%95%$18,419Open ↗
Jessica SteinmannPolymarketRepublican wins95%96%95%$16,255Open ↗
Laura JonesKalshiDemocrat wins2%5%5%$4,511Open ↗
Laura JonesPolymarketDemocrat wins1%5%4%$48,837Open ↗
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Texas ballot
All 39 →
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll