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U.S. House · Texas · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Texas House, district 7
Lizzie Fletcher (Democrat, incumbent) against Alexander Hale (Republican).
Where they stand · 81 points apart
Hale is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Lizzie FletcherrecordAlexander Haleestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedFletcher$1.8MHale$107kItemized, named donorsFletcher$256kHale$94kNamed donorsFletcher247Hale89Itemized from TexasFletcher70%Hale92%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“People across #TX07 people are afraid to live their lives because of ICE, regardless of their immigration status.” Fletcher · X post · Oct 19 · ↗
“Next-Generation Leadership for Houston”
“State and local leaders should be empowered to solve the issues they understand best.” Hale · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lizzie Fletcher | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 96% | 97% | 97% | $30,291 | Open ↗ |
| Lizzie Fletcher | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 95% | 97% | 95% | $15,157 | Open ↗ |
| Alexander Hale | Kalshi | Republican wins | 3% | 5% | 4% | $14,105 | Open ↗ |
| Alexander Hale | Polymarket | Republican wins | 2% | 5% | 4% | $15,748 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Texas ballot
All 39 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll