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U.S. House · Texas · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Texas House, district 38
Jon Bonck (Republican) against Melissa McDonough (Democrat).
Where they stand
EstimatesRead from the campaign’s own words; no voting record yet.
Melissa McDonoughestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedBonck$2.2MMcDonough$117kItemized, named donorsBonck$1.1MMcDonough$50kNamed donorsBonck438McDonough64Itemized from TexasBonck88%McDonough98%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“A TRUE Servant Leader for TX-38”
“Protect Life Life begins at conception. No compromise.” Bonck · Campaign site · Sep 29 · ↗
“We have more in common than what divides us”
“We should expand Medicaid and make Texas a state where getting sick won’t ruin your life.” McDonough · Campaign site · Sep 29 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Bonck | Kalshi | Republican wins | 95% | 97% | 95% | $5,264 | Open ↗ |
| Jon Bonck | Polymarket | Republican wins | 96% | 97% | 96% | $21,385 | Open ↗ |
| Melissa McDonough | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 4% | 6% | 5% | $3,682 | Open ↗ |
| Melissa McDonough | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 3% | 5% | 3% | $10,683 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Texas ballot
All 39 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll