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U.S. House · Texas · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Texas House, district 36
Brian Babin (Republican, incumbent) against Rhonda Hart (Democrat).
Where they stand · 59 points apart
Hart is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Brian BabinrecordRhonda Hartestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedBabin$1.2MHart$24kItemized, named donorsBabin$247kHart$2kNamed donorsBabin227Hart7Itemized from TexasBabin44%Hart88%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“France is burning. This is what open borders, radical Islam, and leftist policies get you. America, WAKE UP! We MUST learn from what is happening abroad or we will be next.” Babin · X post · Oct 20 · ↗
“LEADERSHIP FOR THE PEOPLE”
“The voucher scheme being pushed in Texas is a direct attack on public education ... I oppose it completely.” Hart · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Babin | Kalshi | Republican wins | 94% | 97% | 96% | $2,680 | Open ↗ |
| Brian Babin | Polymarket | Republican wins | 94% | 95% | 95% | $10,628 | Open ↗ |
| Rhonda Hart | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 4% | 6% | 4% | $3,677 | Open ↗ |
| Rhonda Hart | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | $56,588 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Texas ballot
All 39 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll