Spurna.
Spurna.
← All races
U.S. House · Texas · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Texas House, district 35

Johnny Garcia (Democrat) against Carlos De La Cruz (Republican).

Johnny Garcia
Democrat · challenger · estimate L-lean 13
69%party to win
vs.
Carlos De La Cruz
Republican · challenger · estimate Right 23
33%party to win

Where they stand · 36 points apart

Estimates

Hollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.

Johnny GarciaestimateCarlos De La Cruzestimate
Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart
Overall
1323
36 pts

Money

FEC to Sep 30
RaisedGarcia
$1.9MCruz
$1.9MItemized, named donorsGarcia
$1.1MCruz
$759kNamed donorsGarcia
892Cruz
734Itemized from TexasGarcia
19%Cruz
73%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

In their own words

Campaign sites and X

“SAN ANTONIO RAISED TEXAS TOUGH FIGHTING FOR YOU”

“investments in child care” Garcia · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

“NATIVE TEXAN. AIR FORCE VETERAN. SMALL BUSINESSMAN. PROVEN CONSERVATIVE.”

“President Trump is right to treat them like the terrorists they are.” Cruz · X post · May 12 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
CandidatePlatformContractBidAskLastVolume
Johnny GarciaKalshiDemocrat wins67%68%69%$134,004Open ↗
Johnny GarciaPolymarketDemocrat wins64%66%66%$42,554Open ↗
Carlos De La CruzKalshiRepublican wins32%33%33%$176,358Open ↗
Carlos De La CruzPolymarketRepublican wins34%35%35%$50,897Open ↗
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Texas ballot
All 39 →
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll