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U.S. House · Texas · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Texas House, district 33
Colin Allred (Democrat) against Patrick Gillespie (Republican).
Where they stand · 61 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Colin AllredestimatePatrick Gillespieestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedAllred$8MGillespie—Itemized, named donorsAllred$1.8MGillespie—Named donorsAllred2,985Gillespie—Itemized from TexasAllred51%Gillespie—
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Allred | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 97% | 98% | 99% | $504 | Open ↗ |
| Colin Allred | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 96% | 98% | 98% | $3,662 | Open ↗ |
| Patrick Gillespie | Kalshi | Republican wins | 2% | 4% | 4% | $872 | Open ↗ |
| Patrick Gillespie | Polymarket | Republican wins | 1% | 3% | 2% | $14,289 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Texas ballot
All 39 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll