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U.S. House · Texas · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Texas House, district 32
Jace Yarborough (Republican) against Dan Barrios (Democrat).
Where they stand · 69 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Jace YarboroughestimateDan Barriosestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedYarborough—Barrios$150kItemized, named donorsYarborough—Barrios$94kNamed donorsYarborough—Barrios138Itemized from TexasYarborough—Barrios95%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jace Yarborough | Kalshi | Republican wins | 86% | 88% | 89% | $11,554 | Open ↗ |
| Jace Yarborough | Polymarket | Republican wins | 86% | 90% | 89% | $36,380 | Open ↗ |
| Dan Barrios | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 12% | 14% | 14% | $25,385 | Open ↗ |
| Dan Barrios | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 11% | 14% | 13% | $11,944 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Texas ballot
All 39 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll