Spurna.
Spurna.
← All races
U.S. House · Texas · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Texas House, district 30

Frederick Haynes (Democrat) against Everett Jackson (Republican).

Frederick Haynes
Democrat · challenger · estimate Left 26
96%party to win
vs.
Everett Jackson
Republican · challenger · no positions yet
3%party to win

Where they stand

Estimates

Read from the campaign’s own words; no voting record yet.

Frederick Haynesestimate
IssueLeftCenterRight
Overall
26

Money

FEC to Sep 30
RaisedHaynes
$657kJackson
$25kItemized, named donorsHaynes
$467kJackson
$22kNamed donorsHaynes
436Jackson
15Itemized from TexasHaynes
47%Jackson
100%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

In their own words

Campaign sites and X

“Bringing Outside Voices, Vision, and Values Inside the House”

“public policy without requiring religious conformity” Haynes · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
CandidatePlatformContractBidAskLastVolume
Frederick HaynesKalshiDemocrat wins96%97%99%$1,876Open ↗
Frederick HaynesPolymarketDemocrat wins94%98%96%$5,692Open ↗
Everett JacksonKalshiRepublican wins3%5%5%$2,818Open ↗
Everett JacksonPolymarketRepublican wins2%3%3%$43,017Open ↗
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Texas ballot
All 39 →
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll