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U.S. House · Texas · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Texas House, district 29
Sylvia Garcia (Democrat, incumbent) against Martha Fierro (Republican).
Where they stand · 63 points apart
Fierro is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Sylvia GarciarecordMartha Fierroestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedGarcia$1.2MFierro$485Itemized, named donorsGarcia$384kFierro$0Named donorsGarcia240Fierro0Itemized from TexasGarcia91%Fierro0%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“If you don't have time to stand in a line to vote, check out the wait time map at and choose a location without a line! There are 75 voting locations across the county and you can vote at any one of them.” Garcia · X post · Oct 20 · ↗
“Texas raised & American Proud”
“Support Border Patrol and stop policies that encourage illegal crossings and human trafficking.” Fierro · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvia Garcia | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 95% | 97% | 98% | $322 | Open ↗ |
| Sylvia Garcia | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 95% | 98% | 96% | $6,835 | Open ↗ |
| Martha Fierro | Kalshi | Republican wins | 3% | 5% | 4% | $2,169 | Open ↗ |
| Martha Fierro | Polymarket | Republican wins | 2% | 4% | 3% | $13,230 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Texas ballot
All 39 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll