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U.S. House · Texas · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Texas House, district 28
Henry Cuellar (Democrat, incumbent) against Tano Tijerina (Republican).
Where they stand · 22 points apart
Tijerina is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Henry CuellarrecordTano Tijerinaestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedCuellar$3MTijerina$1.8MItemized, named donorsCuellar$1.5MTijerina$606kNamed donorsCuellar967Tijerina505Itemized from TexasCuellar49%Tijerina71%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Hard Work.Real Results.”
“secure the border, enforce the law, and restore order to a broken system. That means stopping illegal crossings” Tijerina · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Cuellar | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 94% | 94% | 94% | $185,965 | Open ↗ |
| Henry Cuellar | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 93% | 94% | 93% | $7,257 | Open ↗ |
| Tano Tijerina | Kalshi | Republican wins | 5% | 7% | 7% | $56,397 | Open ↗ |
| Tano Tijerina | Polymarket | Republican wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | $9,905 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Texas ballot
All 39 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll