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U.S. House · Texas · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Texas House, district 24
Beth Van Duyne (Republican, incumbent) against Kevin Burge (Democrat).
Where they stand · 55 points apart
Burge is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Beth Van DuynerecordKevin Burgeestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedDuyne$2.9MBurge$317kItemized, named donorsDuyne$562kBurge$206kNamed donorsDuyne397Burge259Itemized from TexasDuyne54%Burge94%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Getting Texas Back to Work”
“Early voting is OPEN in Texas! Let’s keep Texas RED, protect our values, and keep America moving forward. Grab everyone you know and head out to the polls! 🗳️🇺🇸” Duyne · X post · Oct 20 · ↗
“Fighting for a better future in the 24th District of Texas!”
“Vote to raise the federal minimum wage” Burge · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beth Van Duyne | Kalshi | Republican wins | 92% | 94% | 94% | $22,229 | Open ↗ |
| Beth Van Duyne | Polymarket | Republican wins | 93% | 94% | 93% | $49,146 | Open ↗ |
| Kevin Burge | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 6% | 8% | 8% | $18,173 | Open ↗ |
| Kevin Burge | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | $37,342 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Texas ballot
All 39 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll