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U.S. House · Texas · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Texas House, district 21

Mark Teixeira (Republican) against Kristin Hook (Democrat).

Mark Teixeira
Republican · challenger · estimate Right 39
95%party to win
vs.
Kristin Hook
Democrat · challenger · estimate Left 26
1%party to win

Where they stand · 64 points apart

Estimates

Hollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.

Mark TeixeiraestimateKristin Hookestimate
Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart
Overall
3926
64 pts

Money

FEC to Sep 30
RaisedTeixeira
$4.3MHook
$369kItemized, named donorsTeixeira
$806kHook
$255kNamed donorsTeixeira
374Hook
357Itemized from TexasTeixeira
59%Hook
75%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

In their own words

Campaign sites and X

“Keep Texas Strong & America Free”

“deport illegal aliens” Teixeira · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

“Build a Better Texas”

“Fund schools, not prisons” Hook · X post · Feb 18 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
CandidatePlatformContractBidAskLastVolume
Mark TeixeiraKalshiRepublican wins96%98%96%$5,185Open ↗
Mark TeixeiraPolymarketRepublican wins95%97%95%$39,765Open ↗
Kristin HookKalshiDemocrat wins2%3%3%$8,651Open ↗
Kristin HookPolymarketDemocrat wins2%2%1%$43,263Open ↗
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Texas ballot
All 39 →
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll