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U.S. House · Texas · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Texas House, district 19

Tom Sell (Republican) against Kyle Rable (Democrat).

Tom Sell
Republican · challenger · estimate Right 27
98%party to win
vs.
Kyle Rable
Democrat · challenger · no positions yet
4%party to win

Where they stand

Estimates

Read from the campaign’s own words; no voting record yet.

Tom Sellestimate
IssueLeftCenterRight
Overall
27

Money

FEC to Sep 30
RaisedSell
$2.4MRable
$46kItemized, named donorsSell
$1.6MRable
$22kNamed donorsSell
772Rable
33Itemized from TexasSell
82%Rable
97%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

In their own words

Campaign sites and X

“I’ll always fight to put our producers first.” Sell · X post · Oct 6 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
CandidatePlatformContractBidAskLastVolume
Tom SellKalshiRepublican wins97%98%94%$1,830Open ↗
Tom SellPolymarketRepublican wins95%98%98%$7,263Open ↗
Kyle RableKalshiDemocrat wins2%4%3%$4,856Open ↗
Kyle RablePolymarketDemocrat wins1%4%4%$24,145Open ↗
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Texas ballot
All 39 →
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll