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U.S. House · Texas · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Texas House, district 14
Randy Weber (Republican, incumbent) against Thurman Bill Bartie (Democrat).
Where they stand · 42 points apart
Bartie is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Randy WeberrecordThurman Bill Bartieestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedWeber$1.1MBartie$37kItemized, named donorsWeber$247kBartie$33kNamed donorsWeber161Bartie31Itemized from TexasWeber59%Bartie95%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Weber | Kalshi | Republican wins | 95% | 98% | 97% | $2,409 | Open ↗ |
| Randy Weber | Polymarket | Republican wins | 96% | 99% | 97% | $17,506 | Open ↗ |
| Thurman Bill Bartie | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 2% | 5% | 4% | $2,896 | Open ↗ |
| Thurman Bill Bartie | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 1% | 4% | 4% | $22,337 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Texas ballot
All 39 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll