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U.S. House · Texas · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Texas House, district 13
Ronny Jackson (Republican, incumbent) against Mark Nair (Democrat).
Where they stand · 66 points apart
Nair is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Ronny JacksonrecordMark Nairestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedJackson$4.7MNair$138kItemized, named donorsJackson$1.4MNair$85kNamed donorsJackson3,771Nair112Itemized from TexasJackson21%Nair91%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Texas is worth defending”
“.@POTUS is heading to WEST TEXAS! Let’s SHOW UP to protect the future of our GREAT state. We CANNOT let radical liberals destroy what makes Texas TEXAS!! SIGN UP NOW to attend the rally, October 27, in Lubbock.” Jackson · X post · Oct 20 · ↗
“It's time we put people first in Washington.”
“I will seek to ban government AI tools for facial recognition and other surveillance, including analyzing your social media.” Nair · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronny Jackson | Kalshi | Republican wins | 97% | 98% | 97% | $24,681 | Open ↗ |
| Ronny Jackson | Polymarket | Republican wins | 95% | 98% | 99% | $3,824 | Open ↗ |
| Mark Nair | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | $1,099 | Open ↗ |
| Mark Nair | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 2% | 5% | 3% | $15,560 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Texas ballot
All 39 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll