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U.S. Senate · Tennessee · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Tennessee Senate
Bill Hagerty (Republican, incumbent) against Marquita Bradshaw (Democrat).
Where they stand · 58 points apart
Bradshaw is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Bill HagertyrecordMarquita Bradshawestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedHagerty$8.2MBradshaw$58kItemized, named donorsHagerty$3.1MBradshaw$9kNamed donorsHagerty4,424Bradshaw19Itemized from TennesseeHagerty31%Bradshaw64%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Thank you, @ClayTravis! It’s more important than ever that Republicans get to the polls and vote EARLY. Find your polling location below.” Hagerty · X post · Oct 19 · ↗
“A Champion for Tennessee”
“strengthening maternal and reproductive healthcare” Bradshaw · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Hagerty | Kalshi | Republican wins | 96% | 97% | 97% | $251,909 | Open ↗ |
| Bill Hagerty | Polymarket | Republican wins | 96% | 96% | 96% | $55,636 | Open ↗ |
| Marquita Bradshaw | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 4% | 4% | 4% | $232,762 | Open ↗ |
| Marquita Bradshaw | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | $58,613 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Tennessee ballot
All 10 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll