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Governor · Tennessee · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Tennessee Governor

Marsha Blackburn (Republican) against Jerri Green (Democrat).

Marsha Blackburn
Republican · in Congress · record Right 30
93%▲ 1 since April
vs.
Jerri Green
Democrat · challenger · estimate Left 33
7%▲ 2 since April
100%90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%0%MAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTTODAY
100%75%50%25%0%MAYJUNJULAUGSEPTODAY
Party to win · Kalshi daily close, Oct 27All market contracts ▸
Also running

Where they stand · 63 points apart

Green is an estimate

Solid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.

Marsha BlackburnrecordJerri Greenestimate
Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart
Overall
3033
63 pts

In their own words

Campaign sites and X

“Victims deserve to have their voices heard and their rights protected. @MarsyslawforTN helps make certain they are never forgotten in the pursuit of justice. Early voting is going on right now - vote YES on Amendment 3!” Blackburn · X post · Oct 20 · ↗

“One Tough Mother”

“Support labor rights and collective bargaining” Green · Campaign site · Sep 29 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
CandidatePlatformContractBidAskLastVolume
Marsha BlackburnKalshiRepublican wins93%93%93%$110,804Open ↗
Marsha BlackburnPolymarketRepublican wins93%94%94%$34,540Open ↗
Jerri GreenKalshiDemocrat wins7%7%7%$202,455Open ↗
Jerri GreenPolymarketDemocrat wins6%7%7%$27,790Open ↗
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Tennessee ballot
All 10 →
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll