← All races
U.S. House · Tennessee · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Tennessee House, district 4
Scott DesJarlais (Republican, incumbent) against Victoria Broderick (Democrat).
Where they stand · 46 points apart
Broderick is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Scott DesJarlaisrecordVictoria Broderickestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedDesJarlais$635kBroderick$84kItemized, named donorsDesJarlais$249kBroderick$25kNamed donorsDesJarlais129Broderick46Itemized from TennesseeDesJarlais38%Broderick66%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Had the opportunity to catch up with Dan Mandis and discuss national debt, economy, and the ongoing conflict in Iran. Listen here 👇” DesJarlais · X post · Oct 12 · ↗
“It's time someone put Tennesseans first”
“Universal Healthcare is a must.” Broderick · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott DesJarlais | Kalshi | Republican wins | 95% | 98% | 98% | $5,274 | Open ↗ |
| Scott DesJarlais | Polymarket | Republican wins | 96% | 98% | 97% | $88,439 | Open ↗ |
| Victoria Broderick | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 2% | 4% | 4% | $3,103 | Open ↗ |
| Victoria Broderick | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 1% | 3% | 1% | $47,559 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Tennessee ballot
All 10 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll