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U.S. House · Tennessee · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Tennessee House, district 1
Diana Harshbarger (Republican, incumbent) against Kristi Burke (Democrat).
Where they stand · 73 points apart
Burke is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Diana HarshbargerrecordKristi Burkeestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedHarshbarger$1.5MBurke$205kItemized, named donorsHarshbarger$438kBurke$73kNamed donorsHarshbarger411Burke149Itemized from TennesseeHarshbarger31%Burke78%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“HOME GROWN HARD WORK”
“So excited to join @POTUS & @FLOTUS at the White House today for this historic moment for women’s health. Be sure to tune in!” Harshbarger · X post · Oct 19 · ↗
“Public dollars must go to public schools” Burke · Campaign site · Sep 29 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Harshbarger | Kalshi | Republican wins | 96% | 98% | 98% | $999 | Open ↗ |
| Diana Harshbarger | Polymarket | Republican wins | 97% | 98% | 97% | $21,980 | Open ↗ |
| Kristi Burke | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 2% | 5% | 5% | $2,304 | Open ↗ |
| Kristi Burke | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | $5,672 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Tennessee ballot
All 10 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll