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U.S. House · Tennessee · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Tennessee House, district 2
Tim Burchett (Republican, incumbent) against Michaela Barnett (Democrat).
Where they stand · 70 points apart
Barnett is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Tim BurchettrecordMichaela Barnettestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedBurchett$3MBarnett$650kItemized, named donorsBurchett$1.1MBarnett$405kNamed donorsBurchett2,186Barnett623Itemized from TennesseeBurchett65%Barnett93%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Burchett | Kalshi | Republican wins | 95% | 96% | 95% | $81 | Open ↗ |
| Tim Burchett | Polymarket | Republican wins | 95% | 96% | 96% | $24,026 | Open ↗ |
| Michaela Barnett | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | $1,211 | Open ↗ |
| Michaela Barnett | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 2% | 5% | 5% | $14,805 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Tennessee ballot
All 10 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll