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U.S. House · Tennessee · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Tennessee House, district 5
Charlie Hatcher (Republican) against Chaz Molder (Democrat).
Where they stand · 60 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Charlie HatcherestimateChaz Molderestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedHatcher$1.7MMolder$3.4MItemized, named donorsHatcher$1.3MMolder$2.6MNamed donorsHatcher716Molder1,887Itemized from TennesseeHatcher93%Molder83%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Hatcher | Kalshi | Republican wins | 88% | 90% | 88% | $13,809 | Open ↗ |
| Charlie Hatcher | Polymarket | Republican wins | 88% | 89% | 88% | $36,616 | Open ↗ |
| Chaz Molder | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 9% | 11% | 11% | $41,840 | Open ↗ |
| Chaz Molder | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 8% | 12% | 11% | $39,791 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Tennessee ballot
All 10 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll