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U.S. House · Tennessee · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Tennessee House, district 9

Brent Taylor (Republican) against Justin Pearson (Democrat).

Brent Taylor
Republican · challenger · estimate Right 33
80%party to win
vs.
Justin Pearson
Democrat · challenger · estimate Left 41
19%party to win

Where they stand · 74 points apart

Estimates

Hollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.

Brent TaylorestimateJustin Pearsonestimate
Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart
Overall
3341
74 pts

Money

FEC to Sep 30
RaisedTaylor
$2.7MPearson
$3.6MItemized, named donorsTaylor
$826kPearson
$1.7MNamed donorsTaylor
369Pearson
2,285Itemized from TennesseeTaylor
91%Pearson
32%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

In their own words

Campaign sites and X

“Sponsoring law mandating sheriffs enforce ICE detainers” Taylor · X post · Jun 12 · ↗

“Gun violence prevention will be one of my priorities in the United States Congress.” Pearson · X post · Jan 3 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
CandidatePlatformContractBidAskLastVolume
Brent TaylorKalshiRepublican wins81%82%81%$17,988Open ↗
Brent TaylorPolymarketRepublican wins80%81%80%$32,187Open ↗
Justin PearsonKalshiDemocrat wins17%18%18%$25,007Open ↗
Justin PearsonPolymarketDemocrat wins18%20%19%$27,949Open ↗
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Tennessee ballot
All 10 →
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll