← All races
U.S. House · Tennessee · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Tennessee House, district 6
Johnny Garrett (Republican) against Mike Croley (Democrat).
Where they stand · 63 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Johnny GarrettestimateMike Croleyestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedGarrett$2.8MCroley$104kItemized, named donorsGarrett$975kCroley$61kNamed donorsGarrett866Croley94Itemized from TennesseeGarrett78%Croley95%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Garrett | Kalshi | Republican wins | 94% | 97% | 93% | $672 | Open ↗ |
| Johnny Garrett | Polymarket | Republican wins | 95% | 96% | 96% | $14,965 | Open ↗ |
| Mike Croley | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 3% | 6% | 6% | $1,950 | Open ↗ |
| Mike Croley | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | $15,427 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Tennessee ballot
All 10 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll