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U.S. House · Oregon · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Oregon House, district 6
Andrea Salinas (Democrat / Independent Party, incumbent) against David Russ (Republican).
Where they stand · 73 points apart
Russ is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Andrea SalinasrecordDavid Russestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedSalinas$1.9MRuss$13kItemized, named donorsSalinas$867kRuss$882Named donorsSalinas991Russ2Itemized from OregonSalinas53%Russ43%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Honored to earn the nod from the Yamhill County News-Register’s Editorial Board. “We see no reason voters would want to turn out a dedicated and effective voice in Congress for such an unproven alternative.” 💪🏻💪🏻” Salinas · X post · Sep 25 · ↗
“New Hope For Oregon. A Stronger Future Starts Now”
“The border wall needs to be completed.” Russ · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Salinas | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 95% | 97% | 98% | $19,901 | Open ↗ |
| Andrea Salinas | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 94% | 97% | 97% | $16,682 | Open ↗ |
| David Russ | Kalshi | Republican wins | 3% | 5% | 4% | $21,083 | Open ↗ |
| David Russ | Polymarket | Republican wins | 3% | 5% | 2% | $10,448 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Oregon ballot
All 7 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll