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U.S. House · Oregon · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Oregon House, district 1
Suzanne Bonamici (Democrat / Working Families, incumbent) against Barbara Kahl (Republican).
Where they stand · 76 points apart
Kahl is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Suzanne BonamicirecordBarbara Kahlestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedBonamici$1MKahl$17kItemized, named donorsBonamici$394kKahl$14kNamed donorsBonamici342Kahl12Itemized from OregonBonamici76%Kahl100%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Let's work together to create more opportunities for all Oregonians, and build a better future!”
“Firearms are the leading cause of death for children in the United States. We MUST reverse this and make the safety of our children a priority.” Bonamici · X post · Oct 19 · ↗
“No MoreWaiting - OnlyReal Action”
“More migrants is just more money in your piggy bank... Increasing children are found in secks trafficking houses.” Kahl · X post · Sep 21 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suzanne Bonamici | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 97% | 99% | 96% | $370 | Open ↗ |
| Suzanne Bonamici | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 95% | 98% | 96% | $10,566 | Open ↗ |
| Barbara Kahl | Kalshi | Republican wins | 1% | 4% | 4% | $288 | Open ↗ |
| Barbara Kahl | Polymarket | Republican wins | 2% | 4% | 3% | $17,083 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Oregon ballot
All 7 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll

